MANTRAYA ANALYSIS#57: 22 JANUARY 2022 Rohingya Refugee Camps in Bangladesh: Sweep of Radicalization Bibhu Prasad Routray Abstract For nearly one million Rohingya refugees in Bangladesh, the long wait for repatriation to Myanmar continues to grow longer. While Bangladesh is in no mood to grant them the right to freedom of movement beyond their camps, the […]
MANTRAYA ANALYSIS#56: 17 NOVEMBER 2021 Manipur: Insurgency Upturn Bibhu Prasad Routray Abstract There is a pattern to the activities of the remnants of insurgency movements in India’s northeast. Violent attacks are interspersed with lengthy hiatus of absence of violence. Insurgents groups may be weak, but remain potent, by periodically drawing their sustenance from state complacency, […]
MANTRAYA ANALYSIS#54: 09 JUNE 2021 Myanmar: Urban insurgency takes root Bibhu Prasad Routray Abstract Since the 01 February 2021 coup, the civilian non-violent resistance to the Tatmadaw (Myanmar military) has changed its character. In the civil disobedience movement, placard-bearing protesters appealed to the conscience of the international community, only to be crushed by the military. […]
MANTRAYA ANALYSIS#53: 01 FEBRUARY 2021 Coup d’état in Myanmar: History unfolds in slow motion Bibhu Prasad Routray Abstract Following a coup d’etat on 1 February 2021, democracy in Myanmar took a back seat. Ever since the results to the parliamentary elections were announced in November 2020 in which the NLD secured a landslide victory, the military […]
MANTRAYA ANALYSIS#52: 25 NOVEMBER 2020 Future of the military’s ‘dual function’ in Myanmar Bibhu Prasad Routray Abstract Myanmar’s parliamentary elections, held on 8 November, have produced a predictable winner—the National League for Democracy (NLD). The military-backed party— Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP), which finished a poor second in the race, has alleged fraud and irregularities, […]
MANTRAYA ANALYSIS#43: 02 MARCH 2020 Military and the Monks: Future of Civil-Military Relations in Myanmar Bibhu Prasad Routray – Abstract There are widely held perceptions that the National League for Democracy (NLD) government led by Aung San Suu Kyi (ASSK) has not only failed to act against the military perpetrators of crime against the Rohingya minorities, […]
MANTRAYA SPECIAL REPORT#17: 07 JUNE 2019 Emerging Human Trafficking Networks of Rohingya: A Symbiotic Nexus Bibhu Prasad Routray – Abstract Over a million Rohingya refugees live in camps located over 6000 acres in Bangladesh’s Cox’s Bazaar area. Most of these refugees face a bleak future and have given up hope of ever returning to their […]
MANTRAYA ANALYSIS#33: 30 JANUARY 2019 India’s Defence Diplomacy with Myanmar: State of Play Bibhu Prasad Routray – Abstract New Delhi’s strategic objectives in Myanmar remain important, yet ambigous. Firstly, the country is a lynchpin for India’s Act East policy. Secondly, it is a theatre where New Delhi is seeking to challenge the decades-old dominance of Beijing. […]
MANTRAYA ANALYSIS#32: 26 DECEMBER 2018 India’s ‘Act East’ Policy: Impact on Mizoram and Manipur Safa Rahim – Abstract India’s ‘Look East’ policy which was recalibrated as the ‘Act East’ policy has focused on reducing the economic and physical isolation of the northeastern region of India. Several connectivity projects are being implemented and are making progress, albeit […]
MANTRAYA ANALYSIS#29: 04 OCTOBER 2018 Myanmar versus the Rohingya: The China Factor Bibhu Prasad Routray – Abstract A number of investigative reports have found evidence of Myanmar’s military role in the ethnic cleaning of the Rohingya leading to huge international uproar and censure. In response, Myanmar’s civilian as well as military have closed ranks and […]