MANTRAYA ANALYSIS#14: 08 JUNE 2017 China’s Counter-terrorism in Xinjiang: Inward Looking Template – Adarsh Vijay – Abstract The Uyghur insurgency continues to be an unresolved internal security threat for China. China’s counterterrorist policy reflects an amalgamation of military coercion, socio-economic transformation, and a propaganda warfare. The communist state and its unparalleled reaction against the Uyghurs […]
MANTRAYA SPECIAL REPORT#10: 22 MAY 2017 Intelligence and Counter-intelligence in India’s Maoist theatres – Bibhu Prasad Routray – Abstract A single big extremist attack can reverse the narrative of optimism regarding India winning the war on left-wing extremism (LWE). Such an attack can lead to a barrage of charges and counter charges on the range […]
MANTRAYA OCCASIONAL PAPER #03: 06 MAY 2017 The Thai Southern Insurgency: External view of the Way Forward – Thomas A. Marks, Ph.D. – Abstract As insurgency continues in the Thai Southern Border Provinces (SBP), external commentary, overwhelmingly in academia, remains the primary source of suggestions for how Bangkok should proceed. Discussion falls into three major […]
MANTRAYA ANALYSIS#12: 30 MARCH 2017 Future trajectory of Left-wing extremism in India – Bibhu Prasad Routray – Abstract Declining ability among the left-wing extremists (LWE) to orchestrate attacks and the state’s purported capacity to find support among the traditional recruitment base of the Communist Party of India-Maoist (CPI-Maoist) are the primary reasons […]
MANTRAYA OCCASIONAL PAPER #02: 28 JANUARY 2017 Enduring Dilemmas: Nepali Insurgency Redux – Thomas A. Marks, Ph.D. – Abstract Though touted as acceptance of political reintegration, the Nepali Maoist move to end the 1996-2006 overt hostilities was at the time tactical rather than strategic. The party had no intention of supporting a parliamentary version of […]
– MANTRAYA SPECIAL REPORT#06: 03 OCTOBER 2016 India: Lessons from ‘surgical strikes’ in Myanmar – Bibhu Prasad Routray – Abstract It is not a commentary on the ability of the Indian army to carry out surgical strikes. Such strikes do not come with an element of success woven into them. And yet before the first […]
VOICES FROM THE REGION#02: 22 AUGUST 2016 Kashmir: Blame game isn’t Policy – – – — — — — Raja Muzaffar Bhat — – Abstract Kashmir is on a boil. In the absence of political measures, the situation can further worsen. The discourse over bringing normalcy to Kashmir must be based on a meaningful […]
MANTRAYA BRIEF#19: 08 AUGUST 2016 Assam’s NDFB: A battered militancy that refuses to die Bibhu Prasad Routray – Abstract What enables a weak militant outfit with less than 50 cadres to be the most lethal in Assam? Is it due to complacent security forces or the enabling conditions that make even numerically insignificant armed formations […]
MANTRAYA BRIEF#17: 04 JULY 2016 Whats in a name? Unscrambling the Dhaka terror strike Bibhu Prasad Routray – Abstract Whether global or local jihad consumed the lives of the Bangladeshis and foreigners on 1 July 2016 is irrelevant. An effective counter-terrorism response is about the state’s demonstrated inclination to provide a honest assessment of the challenge […]
MANTRAYA INTERACTION#01: 20 JUNE 2016 The Kashmir Conundrum Interaction with Dr. Ashok Bhan – How will you describe the current situation in Jammu & Kashmir? The security situation in Jammu & Kashmir has been improving continuously since 2001. In the last five years, terrorism related incidents have gone down to less than 200 per year. So […]