MANTRAYA ANALYSIS#57: 22 JANUARY 2022 Rohingya Refugee Camps in Bangladesh: Sweep of Radicalization Bibhu Prasad Routray Abstract For nearly one million Rohingya refugees in Bangladesh, the long wait for repatriation to Myanmar continues to grow longer. While Bangladesh is in no mood to grant them the right to freedom of movement beyond their camps, the […]
MANTRAYA ANALYSIS#56: 17 NOVEMBER 2021 Manipur: Insurgency Upturn Bibhu Prasad Routray Abstract There is a pattern to the activities of the remnants of insurgency movements in India’s northeast. Violent attacks are interspersed with lengthy hiatus of absence of violence. Insurgents groups may be weak, but remain potent, by periodically drawing their sustenance from state complacency, […]
MANTRAYA ANALYSIS#55: 17 NOVEMBER 2021 Narco Routes: From Afghanistan to Africa Shanthie Mariet D’Souza & Bibhu Prasad Routray Abstract Afghan, Pakistani, African, and Indian drugs cartels continue to use circuitous sea and air routes of heroin consignments from Afghanistan through Mozambique and Iran, to India, South Africa, Australia, and some of the western countries. Each […]
MANTRAYA ANALYSIS#54: 09 JUNE 2021 Myanmar: Urban insurgency takes root Bibhu Prasad Routray Abstract Since the 01 February 2021 coup, the civilian non-violent resistance to the Tatmadaw (Myanmar military) has changed its character. In the civil disobedience movement, placard-bearing protesters appealed to the conscience of the international community, only to be crushed by the military. […]
MANTRAYA ANALYSIS#53: 01 FEBRUARY 2021 Coup d’état in Myanmar: History unfolds in slow motion Bibhu Prasad Routray Abstract Following a coup d’etat on 1 February 2021, democracy in Myanmar took a back seat. Ever since the results to the parliamentary elections were announced in November 2020 in which the NLD secured a landslide victory, the military […]
MANTRAYA ANALYSIS#52: 25 NOVEMBER 2020 Future of the military’s ‘dual function’ in Myanmar Bibhu Prasad Routray Abstract Myanmar’s parliamentary elections, held on 8 November, have produced a predictable winner—the National League for Democracy (NLD). The military-backed party— Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP), which finished a poor second in the race, has alleged fraud and irregularities, […]
MANTRAYA ANALYSIS#51: 16 NOVEMBER 2020 Ending Militancy in Kashmir: Successes and Enduring Challenges Bibhu Prasad Routray Abstract Amid the Indian government’s continuing search for peace and stability in Kashmir, since the August 2019 decision to revoke Article 370 of the Indian constitution, security establishment in the union territory continue to face two primary challenges—home-grown militancy and […]
MANTRAYA ANALYSIS#50: 20 OCTOBER 2020 Jihadist Messaging: Arrest of al Qaeda Cadres in India Bibhu Prasad Routray Abstract Arrest of ten men affiliated to the al Qaeda from West Bengal and Kerala in September by the National Investigation Agency has yet again brought into focus the continuing Jihadist mobilization targeting the vulnerable Muslim community in […]
MANTRAYA ANALYSIS#49: 05 OCTOBER 2020 Insurgency in Mozambique: The Islamic State’s New Frontier Bibhu Prasad Routray Abstract A spate of attacks on villages and towns since 2017 by Islamist jihadists belonging to the al-Shabaab have killed more than 1,500 people and displaced over 300,000 in north Mozambique’s mineral gas-rich Cabo Delgado province. Violence has spiked […]
MANTRAYA ANALYSIS#48: 24 SEPTEMBER 2020 India’s Cannabis Conundrum Sameer Parekh Abstract Sale of cannabis is increasing globally, accompanied by legalization and decriminalization processes. North America and Europe are taking the lead. Asia is slowly catching up. When consumed moderately, Cannabis, like all other drugs, is recreationally and medically beneficial. In India, where cannabis has played […]