MANTRAYA ANALYSIS#63: 14 FEBRUARY 2023 Preparing for a Fraudulent Election: Myanmar Military attempts to Legitimize the Coup BIBHU PRASAD ROUTRAY ABSTRACT Myanmar’s military junta is preparing for holding an election in 2023 in order to provide the much-needed legitimacy to its rule. It is most likely to be a sham exercise, the UN has speculated. […]
MANTRAYA SPECIAL REPORT#21: 23 JANUARY 2023 Sunken Dreams: Rohingya Refugee Crisis BIBHU PRASAD ROUTRAY ABSTRACT Hopelessly stuck in the wretched camps in Bangladesh for over five years, Rohingya refugees are undertaking perilous sea journeys to Malaysia, across the Bay of Bengal and the Andaman Sea. While thousands have reached their destination in search of better […]
Annual compilation of Mantraya’s Policy Briefs, Analyses, Occasional Papers, and Voices from the Region, published in 2022. Click below to Download the entire report.
MANTRAYA ANALYSIS#62: 05 JANUARY 2023 The TTP and the Pakistani State: How Not to Fight an Insurgency BIBHU PRASAD ROUTRAY ABSTRACT After calling off its months-long ceasefire with the Pakistani state in November 2022, the TTP has launched an unprecedented wave of country-wide violence. The bulk of the violence, however, is concentrated in the settled […]
MANTRAYA POLICY BRIEF#45: 31 DECEMBER 2022 Limits of Pakistan’s Afghanistan Policy SHANTHIE MARIET D’SOUZA ABSTRACT The Afghan Taliban are seemingly breaking free from their former sponsors. They have refused to accept the Durand Line as the international border with Pakistan and have failed to force the TTP to give up its violent attacks in Pakistan. […]
MANTRAYA POLICY BRIEF#44: 28 DECEMBER 2022 Myanmar in 2022: Future of the Opposition’s Armed Uprising BIBHU PRASAD ROUTRAY ABSTRACT The bloody war of the Myanmar military unleashed on the civilian PDFs and the ethnic armed organisations continues to claim lives daily. The opposition’s violent resistance,centred around restoring democracy, although impressive thus far, needs external support […]
MANTRAYA POLICY BRIEF#43: 30 NOVEMBER 2022 The Rise of Islamic State’s Khorasan Province BIBHU PRASAD ROUTRAY ABSTRACT The Islamic State’s Khorasan Province (ISKP) is on an ascent in Afghanistan. Its violent attacks targeting both the Taliban members and the civilians belonging to the minority communities have continued, despite ‘measures’ taken by the Islamic Emirate. Not […]
MANTRAYA ANALYSIS#61: 26 OCTOBER 2022 Emerging Faultlines within the Taliban: Implications for Afghanistan & Pakistan SHANTHIE MARIET D’SOUZA & BIBHU PRASAD ROUTRAY ABSTRACT The continuing closure of girls’ schools in Afghanistan, in spite of the promises made by the Taliban, is one of the many issues which have brought deep factionalism among the former insurgents. […]
MANTRAYA ANALYSIS#60: 11 OCTOBER 2022 State of Play: Lashkar-e-Taiba in Kashmir BIBHU PRASAD ROUTRAY ABSTRACT Terrorist violence in Jammu & Kashmir is decreasing. And yet, terror groups like the Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT) continue their attempt to reverse the gains made by the security forces. Backing from the state sponsors in Pakistan, geopolitical changes in Afghanistan and […]
MANTRAYA POLICY BRIEF#42: 19 SEPTEMBER 2022 The Killing of Ayman al Zawahiri: Impact on al Qaeda-linked Terror Groups in Africa BIBHU PRASAD ROUTRAY & SHANTHIE MARIET D’SOUZA ABSTRACT Following the killing of al Qaeda (AQ) chief Ayman al Zawahiri in Kabul on 2 August 2022, the possible impact of neutralizing a leader on the group […]